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Marathon Gold afresh bankrupt out of a multi-year base, hitting a new multi-year aerial in aboriginal July.

The aggregation continues to see analysis success from its Berry deposit, a new analysis that lies on the 6-kilometer Sprite Trend amid its two multi-million ounce gold deposits.

Given the contempo conduct success at Berry, I accept the drop can ultimately prove up a ability of over 400,000 ounces of gold at aloft 1.80 grams per tonne gold.

Based on the abeyant for a third pit on an already well-endowed property, I abide to see Marathon as a top takeover ambition in the sector, and a buy on any 15% dips.

We’ve apparent a adamant bid beneath several gold juniors back the amount of gold (GLD) beyond the $1,650/oz mark, but Marathon Gold (OTCQX:MGDPF) has lagged the area considerably, as earlier-stage analysis companies accept taken centermost stage. However, while the allotment amount has fabricated little advance over the accomplished year on a about basis, the company’s Valentine Lake Activity has connected to abound added admired because the college gold prices we’ve seen. The benefit to the Marathon Gold adventure is bounded exploration, and the aggregation delivered added aberrant after-effects out of the Berry Area this week, a drop that lies 4 kilometers southwest of the 2-million ounce Marathon pit. Based on the college gold amount and connected aberrant after-effects from the Berry Zone, I abide to see the banal as a top-10 takeover target.

(Source: Aggregation Website)

It’s been a active alpha to the year for Marathon Gold with a Pre-Feasibility Study appear in Q2 assuming an absurd centralized amount of acknowledgment of 48.8% at a $1,550/oz gold price, and an After-Tax NPV (5%) of US$497 million. These are aberrant metrics for a aggregation that alone afresh hopped aloft the US$300 actor bazaar cap barrier, as is the After-Tax NPV (5%) to Initial Capex arrangement of aloft 2.40. The activity envisions a 175,000-ounce per year assembly contour at all-in comestible costs of $739/oz, a amount that is added than 20% beneath the industry average. Therefore, this is acutely a actual able-bodied activity and it helps that it’s sitting in a Tier-1 administration like Newfoundland. Unfortunately, speculators accept been bottomward appear blatant assignment results, heavily answer names, and lower bazaar cap stocks to actuality in their portfolio, and Marathon has been a almost arid analysis adventure with basal assignment after-effects appear in 2020 accustomed the COVID-19 disruptions. However, this week’s assignment after-effects at the Berry Area ability accept afflicted that.

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(Source: Aggregation Presentation)

(Source: Aggregation Presentation)

(Source: Aggregation Video, Author’s Notes)

As we can see from the map below, the 6-kilometer Sprite Corridor that connects Leprechaun and Marathon has apparent basal testing to date, added than a baby ability authentic at Sprite. However, we got some actual auspicious after-effects from the Berry Area in Q4 of aftermost year, which were as follows:





The aloft holes showed absorbing grades over appropriate intervals, with the best absorbing actuality VL-19-786, a 22-meter ambush of 7.60 grams per tonne gold. While this does not assume like that high-grade of a hit compared to added campaign like Osisko Mining (OTCPK:OBNNF) and Wallbridge Mining (OTCPK:WLBMF), it’s important to agenda that this aperture was accomplished from near-surface and is 200% college brand than the boilerplate grades at Valentine Lake (1.80~ grams per tonne gold). However, it was still too aboriginal to acquaint if we had a cogent analysis on our easily as we didn’t accept any blubbery intercepts agnate to what we’ve apparent from the Marathon and Leprechaun pits. Fortunately, Wednesday’s assignment after-effects accept quelled any doubts about this actuality a cogent analysis with 120 meters of 3.33 grams per tonne gold intersected in VL-20-823. This is one of the best absorbing holes accomplished beyond the accomplished acreage in several years and has accepted the high-grades we saw in VL-19-786.

(Source: Aggregation Presentation)

In accession to VL-20-823, we additionally saw absorbing intercepts from VL-20-824 and VL-20-822, with 36 meters of 3.37 grams per tonne gold and 32 meters of 2.33 grams per tonne gold. VL-20-822 was accomplished almost 100 meters west of VL-20-823 and confirms solid grades footfall out from the capital high-grade area in area 13,690, while VL-20-824 has accepted the high-grades apparent in VL-20-806 (14 meters of 8.06 grams per tonne gold). While the added holes accomplished to the west (VL-20-818 and VL-20-820) weren’t as absorbing as I had hoped with almost baby intercepts of low grades, we now accept a 450-meter bang breadth authentic at Berry that has been activated to abject of up to 250 meters. Meanwhile, the boilerplate intercepts accomplished into the area are aloft 2.0 grams per tonne gold, suggesting that the high-grades at Marathon and Leprechaun are present actuality as well. While aboriginal to brainstorm on drop size, I accept Marathon should be able to prove up at atomic 400,000 ounces at Berry at an boilerplate brand of 1.80 grams per tonne gold or higher.

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(Source: Aggregation News Release)(Source: Aggregation Presentation)

Assuming I am actual in this view, this would be a cogent footfall in the appropriate administration appear Marathon Gold hitting my abiding 5.2 million-ounce property-wide ability ambition for Valentine Lake, which I anticipate is achievable afore the end of 2022. This would abode Marathon in a baby accumulation of gold juniors with a 5-million ounce additional ability in a Tier-1 deposit, added emboldening the apriorism for the aggregation actuality a takeover ambition for an boilerplate or abate chief gold producer. However, alike at the accepted ability size, the banal is still alluringly priced compared to added acquisitions we’ve apparent in the space. Let’s booty a afterpiece attending below:

(Source: Author’s Chart)

As we can see in the blueprint above, takeovers in Tier-1 jurisdictions accept fetched an boilerplate amount of US$99.25/oz, and Marathon Gold is currently trading at an action amount of US$270 actor afterwards abacus out the company’s banknote position of US$40 million. Based on the company’s accepted 4.05 million-ounce resource, this leaves Marathon Gold admired at aloof $66.67/oz, added than 25% beneath the activity amount for all-embracing gold deposits in Tier-1 jurisdictions. Therefore, I accept there is added upside actuality continued term, abnormally if we abide to see hits like VL-20-823 out of the Berry Zone. However, it’s not aloof the appraisal that suggests we could see added upside.


If we booty a attending at the abstruse picture, there’s additionally a lot to like here, with Marathon Gold aloof afresh breaking out of a multi-year abject to new highs. This is a actual bullish abstruse development as it shows that the bazaar is assuredly alive up to the Marathon story, and big money is accommodating to pay top-dollar to get into the stock, apparent by the over 4 actor shares traded aftermost week. While multi-year breakouts don’t consistently see a beeline band higher, I accept that this above-mentioned attrition akin at C$1.75 is now acceptable to be a attic for the banal activity forward. Therefore, any aciculate pullbacks should accommodate low-risk affairs opportunities.

(Source: Aggregation Website)

Marathon Gold continues to be one of my top-3 takeover targets in the gold space, and the contempo after-effects from the Berry Area alone activate this thesis. Accustomed the college gold price, which has beefed up the After-Tax NPV (5%) and my acceptance that Valentine Lake ultimately holds added than 5.2 actor ounces of gold back abacus in bounded potential, I am adopting my ambition amount from US$1.70 (August 2019) to US$2.00. Therefore, I abide to accept that any aciculate pullbacks should accommodate low-risk affairs opportunities. I abide to angle by my acceptance that the banal will acceptable be taken over afore the end of Q1 2021.

Disclosure: I am/we are continued GLD. I wrote this commodity myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not accepting advantage for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I accept no business accord with any aggregation whose banal is mentioned in this article.

Additional disclosure: Disclaimer: Taylor Dart is not a Registered Advance Advisor or Banking Planner. This autograph is for advisory purposes only. It does not aggregate an action to sell, a address to buy, or a advocacy apropos any balance transaction. The admonition independent in this autograph should not be construed as banking or advance admonition on any accountable matter. Taylor Dart especially disclaims all accountability in account to accomplishments taken based on any or all of the admonition on this writing.

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