Reporter allegory avant-garde sports statistics for The Washington Post
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June 2 at 10:21 AM
The NHL concluded its approved analysis aftermost anniversary and handed out some of its end-of-season awards. Alex Ovechkin and David Pastrnak aggregate the the Maurice “Rocket” Richard Trophy, awarded to the NHL’s top ambition scorer, with 48 goals. It was the ninth win for the Capitals captain and aboriginal for the Bruins forward. This is the third time the accolade will be aggregate and aboriginal back Steven Stamkos and Sidney Crosby angry with 51 goals in 2009-10. Leon Draisaitl calmly won the Art Ross Trophy for arch the alliance in credibility and Boston goaltenders Tuukka Rask and Jaroslav Halak acquire the William M. Jennings Trophy for acceptance the atomic goals (167 goals in 70 amateur played, 2.39 goals accustomed per game). Along with those alone awards, the Boston Bruins get the Presidents’ Trophy for arch the alliance standings with 100 points.
The blow of the aloft end-of-season awards are accountable to vote. What follows is a attending at the best admirable players for those awards. Disagree with the choices? Let us apperceive in the comments.
[The bigger winners and losers from the NHL’s playoff format]
Most deserving: Leon Draisaitl, Edmonton Oilers
This accolade is accustomed to “the amateur adjudged to be the best admired to his team,” with every aborigine larboard to adjudge what the appellation admired agency for themselves. To be admired a amateur charge accord to wins and that’s been accurate in the voting record. Every Hart champ back 2005-06 has ranked in the top three for point shares, a modification of Bill James’s wins shares acclimated in Aloft Alliance Baseball, with the NHL adaptation free how abounding standings credibility a amateur contributed. This year that abbreviate account includes David Pastrnak, Draisaitl and Artemi Panarin.
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Draisaitl won his aboriginal Art Ross Trophy with 110 points, authoritative him the alone amateur to ability the 100-point plateau this season. The 24-year-old additionally accomplished 13 credibility advanced of assistant Connor McDavid, a aloft Hart Trophy champ himself, who was second. If we acclimatize Draisaitl’s point account to an 82-game agenda with added caveats to accomplish an apples-to-apples allegory to players from altered eras he projects to 128 adapted points, acceptable abundant for 38th on the best adapted credibility account and the aforementioned as the ascendant Hart champ Nikita Kucherov had aftermost season.
Plus, Draisaitl additionally led the alliance in goals created, addition metric illustrating his accent to his club.
One added thing. Afore you try and altercate Draisaitl had a astounding analysis because he and McDavid skate calm often, accede Draisaitl skated 610 account at alike backbone after McDavid on the ice this analysis and the Oilers outscored opponents 35 to 26 during that time.
“I anticipate I’ve consistently been added of the pass-first blazon of guy, but I knew aboriginal on in my career in the NHL that I accept to be a blackmail to shoot already in a while, too, contrarily I’m too predictable,” Draisaitl said. “It’s aloof article I’ve formed on consistently during the summer, in season, whenever it was, so it’s article I had to put into my game.”
Most deserving: John Carlson, Washington Capitals
John Carlson denticulate a career-high 75 credibility (15 goals, 60 assists) in 69 games, 10 added credibility than any added defenseman this season. His 1.09 points-per-game boilerplate is the best scoring analysis by a defenseman back 1993-94 and the accomplished back a lockout claimed the 2004-05 campaign. He was on clue for 90 points, which would be the accomplished point absolute for a defenseman back Seregi Zubov in 1993-94.
Plus, he skated about 25 account a night, the 10th best ice time for a blueliner in 2019-20. That includes a league-high four account per bold on the ability comedy assemblage and 1 minute and 30 abnormal per challenge with the amends kill. His aegis with the closing appropriate teams could be challenged, yet opponents had a almost low affection of attempt back he was on the ice (6.4 accepted goals adjoin per 60 minutes, 37th out of 104 able defensemen).
Goaltenders accept to accomplish saves and two netminders stood aloft the rest, Rask of the Boston Bruins and Connor Hellebuyck of the Winnipeg Jets. Those two were around alike in goals adored compared to what you would apprehend from an boilerplate netminder adverse a agnate amount of shots against, too. However, Rask was abundant bigger than Hellebuyck on the amends kill.
For example, Rask acquaint a save allotment of .939 at alike backbone this season, endlessly 10 added goals than you would apprehend from high-danger areas such as the aperture or crease, per abstracts from Natural Stat Trick. Hellebuyck acquaint a .927 save amount with nine added high-danger goals adored than average. On the amends kill, Rask not alone had a college save allotment than Hellebuyck, .886 to .872, he adored his aggregation two high-danger goals over boilerplate admitting Hellebuyck accustomed six added than expected.
Most deserving: Cale Makar, Colorado Avalanche
Quinn Hughes of the Vancouver Canucks led all rookies with 53 credibility in 68 games. Makar has 50 credibility in 57 games. Hughes got hardly added ice time (21 account and 53 seconds) than Makar (21 account a night) but Hughes was added sheltered, starting 275 of his 660 faceoffs in the advancing area (42 percent) compared to 202 of 521 face offs (39 percent) for Makar.
Makar had added primary credibility at alike backbone (eight goals and 13 primary assists) than Hughes (five goals additional 11 primary assists) and additionally generated added primary credibility per 60 account (1.3 compared to 0.8 for Hughes), authoritative him added valuable. Secondary assists can be assigned arbitrarily and ability comedy time is at the coach’s discretion, authoritative primary credibility at alike backbone the bigger analyzer of production. Makar additionally led all rookies in point shares, putting addition aftereffect in his favor.
Most deserving: Alain Vigneault, Philadelphia Flyers
The Jack Adams Accolade is bestowed by the NHL Broadcasters’ Association to “the NHL drillmaster adjudged to accept contributed the best to his team’s success.” It can be adamantine to appraise how abundant a team’s achievement is due to the players or the coach, but I anticipate we can all accede expectations are important. After all, if you drillmaster a aggregation that is accepted to accomplish a run at the Presidents’ Trophy you shouldn’t get added acclaim for acceptable the Presidents’ Trophy.
To actuate expectations, we will attending at the preseason point allotment set by the oddsmakers and analyze that to a team’s absolute point allotment becoming during the approved season. If a aggregation exceeds those expectations again their drillmaster deserves some praise. This adjustment isn’t a fail-safe way to authorize expectations but it is a appropriate abundant proxy. We will additionally use the allowance for anniversary aggregation to accomplish the playoffs. For example, the Columbus Blue Jackets had an adumbrated playoff anticipation of 70 percent in the preseason but an absolute playoff anticipation of 34 percent per Hockey Reference at the time of the season’s end (not including the change to a 24-team format), hardly active up to expectations in this case.
Alain Vigneault, on the added hand, guided his Philadelphia Flyers to 89 credibility (41-21-7) and a second-place accomplishment in the Metropolitan division, earning the club a bye anniversary through the play-in round. They were accepted to acquire 90 or 91 credibility over a abounding season, which equates to 76 credibility over their 69-game beneath season, beyond expectations by 13 points. They were additionally alone accustomed a 50-50 adventitious to accomplish the playoffs afore the bogie alone on the approved season.
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